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Top-10k picks

Elite 10k Analysis

Track what the current top 10k managers are doing with their teams week by week.

Top 10k

1,000 managers sampled from the live top 10k after the deadline, weighted so the sample stands for all 10,000. Bands and weights are under Method.

Bought and sold

No previous capture on record for this tier, so there is no week-on-week movement.

The captaincy

Share of the 1,000 managers who gave each player the armband. Triple captain is the share of all managers who captained him and played the chip, so it sits inside the Captain share. Model xP is the deadline run’s expected points for the player, uncaptained, as are the points. The run on record carries no haul probability, so none is shown.

Captaincy in the Top 10k
#PlayerCaptainTriple captainModel xPPoints (uncaptained)
1João PedroChelsea · FWD31.4%5.7%3.4011
2HaalandMan City · FWD21.0%0.0%5.552
3B.FernandesMan Utd · MID15.0%0.0%5.642
4PalmerChelsea · MID8.9%1.6%3.1013
5ØdegaardArsenal · MID5.7%1.3%2.9211
6SakaArsenal · MID2.5%0.9%4.189
7HavertzArsenal · FWD2.5%0.0%2.436
8MbeumoMan Utd · MID2.1%0.0%6.342
9CalafioriArsenal · DEF1.9%0.0%4.479
10TzolisArsenal · MID1.7%0.0%1.736

Template vs model

The template's eight averaged 7.9 points; the model's eight averaged 1.9. Eight players each, one gameweek.

Over-owned: of the twenty highest-EO players, the eight the model ranks lowest by expected points. Under-owned: of the model's twenty highest expected-points likely starters (expected minutes over 60), the eight with the lowest effective ownership in this tier.
Over-owned — the template holds, the model ranks low
PlayerEOEO rankModel xPModel rankPoints
KinskySpurs · GK32.5%#151.71#2142
TzolisArsenal · MID35.1%#131.73#2126
De CuyperBrighton · DEF36.5%#112.45#13017
GvardiolMan City · DEF25.9%#182.85#919
VerbruggenBrighton · GK46.7%#72.88#866
WhiteArsenal · DEF28.3%#172.91#8411
ØdegaardArsenal · MID33.1%#142.92#8311
MaguireMan Utd · DEF23.2%#203.09#681
Under-owned — the model ranks high, the template doesn't hold
PlayerEOEO rankModel xPModel rankPoints
WatkinsAston Villa · FWD1.6%#874.90#60
CunhaMan Utd · MID4.4%#644.28#162
E.Le FéeSunderland · MID5.1%#604.35#152
RiceArsenal · MID5.8%#534.65#73
Gibbs-WhiteNott'm Forest · MID6.4%#494.47#132
VirgilLiverpool · DEF10.4%#404.54#92
WirtzLiverpool · MID10.6%#384.51#102
O'ReillyMan City · DEF10.6%#394.62#82

Effective ownership, every player

All 322 players held by at least one of the 1,000 managers in this capture or the previous one, sorted by effective ownership; a player the tier has sold out of entirely sits at the foot at 0.0 with no rank. Own is the share holding the player anywhere in the 15; XI the share starting him; C and TC the share who captained and triple-captained him; EO is Σ multiplier ÷ managers × 100.

Effective ownership of every player in the Top 10k
#PlayerTeamPosOwnXICTCEO last weekEOSame managers, changeModel xPModel rankPoints
#1João PedroChelseaFWD97.1%96.9%31.4%5.7%134.5%3.40#4911
#2CalafioriArsenalDEF68.7%68.7%1.9%0.0%70.5%4.47#129
#3HaalandMan CityFWD46.1%45.7%21.0%0.0%66.7%5.55#42
#4PalmerChelseaMID52.9%52.9%8.9%1.6%64.1%3.10#6713
#5B.FernandesMan UtdMID41.9%41.9%15.0%0.0%56.9%5.64#32
#6SzoboszlaiLiverpoolMID51.6%51.2%0.7%0.2%52.1%5.09#58
#7VerbruggenBrightonGK48.7%46.7%0.0%0.0%46.7%2.88#866
#8MbeumoMan UtdMID44.2%43.8%2.1%0.0%45.9%6.34#12
#9RayaArsenalGK40.8%40.3%0.2%0.0%40.8%4.07#216
#10NdiayeEvertonMID36.9%36.4%0.2%0.1%36.7%4.24#189
#11De CuyperBrightonDEF36.2%36.2%0.2%0.1%36.5%2.45#13017
#12Calvert-LewinLeedsFWD37.4%35.8%0.1%0.0%35.9%3.80#341
#13TzolisArsenalMID33.5%33.4%1.7%0.0%35.1%1.73#2126
#14ØdegaardArsenalMID26.1%26.1%5.7%1.3%33.1%2.92#8311
#15KinskySpursGK34.6%32.5%0.0%0.0%32.5%1.71#2142
#16RogersChelseaMID30.5%30.3%0.1%0.0%30.4%3.42#488
#17WhiteArsenalDEF27.9%27.9%0.4%0.0%28.3%2.91#8411
#18GvardiolMan CityDEF25.9%25.8%0.1%0.0%25.9%2.85#919
#19GabrielArsenalDEF23.7%23.4%1.1%0.0%24.6%5.79#25
#20MaguireMan UtdDEF23.3%23.2%0.0%0.0%23.2%3.09#681
#21IsakLiverpoolFWD22.8%22.5%0.5%0.0%23.0%2.70#1012
#22ShawMan UtdDEF23.1%22.5%0.0%0.0%22.5%4.14#201
#23GuéhiMan CityDEF22.1%22.0%0.1%0.0%22.1%3.99#2610
#24M.SangaréBrentfordMID21.3%20.9%0.0%0.0%20.9%1.71#21514
#25SemenyoMan CityMID17.4%17.2%0.1%0.0%17.3%4.26#172
#26TarkowskiEvertonDEF15.9%15.6%0.0%0.0%15.6%4.48#116
#27BrobbeySunderlandFWD16.4%14.5%0.0%0.0%14.5%3.51#442
#28ThiagoBrentfordFWD15.5%14.2%0.1%0.0%14.3%4.06#220
#29MuharemovićLeedsDEF13.9%13.7%0.0%0.0%13.7%1.41#2656
#30HavertzArsenalFWD11.2%11.0%2.5%0.0%13.5%2.43#1316
#31PickfordEvertonGK13.6%12.5%0.2%0.0%13.0%3.38#507
#32N.WilliamsNott'm ForestDEF13.4%13.0%0.0%0.0%13.0%3.62#382
#33SakaArsenalMID9.4%9.4%2.5%0.9%12.8%4.18#199
#34LammensMan UtdGK13.8%12.6%0.0%0.0%12.6%3.51#431
#35GakpoLiverpoolMID11.3%11.3%0.5%0.1%11.9%3.89#3012
#36LacroixChelseaDEF11.4%11.2%0.0%0.0%11.2%3.30#556
#37KayodeBrentfordDEF11.0%10.8%0.0%0.0%10.8%2.80#9513
#38WirtzLiverpoolMID11.0%10.6%0.0%0.0%10.6%4.51#102
#39O'ReillyMan CityDEF11.1%10.6%0.0%0.0%10.6%4.62#82
#40VirgilLiverpoolDEF10.9%10.4%0.0%0.0%10.4%4.54#92
#41HumeSunderlandDEF10.6%10.4%0.0%0.0%10.4%3.08#712
#42Dewsbury-HallEvertonMID10.0%9.5%0.4%0.1%10.0%3.94#2711
#43AjerBrentfordDEF9.7%9.7%0.0%0.0%9.7%2.13#1658
#44HinshelwoodBrightonMID8.7%8.6%0.1%0.0%8.7%2.86#9016
#45MosqueraArsenalDEF8.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%8.1%3.52#426
#46RicharlisonSpursFWD8.1%7.6%0.0%0.0%7.6%2.77#972
#47DiopIpswich TownDEF7.8%7.0%0.0%0.0%7.0%2.42#1342
#48CherkiMan CityMID7.2%6.8%0.0%0.0%6.8%3.57#408
#49Gibbs-WhiteNott'm ForestMID6.5%6.3%0.1%0.0%6.4%4.47#132
#50DavisIpswich TownDEF6.3%6.2%0.0%0.0%6.2%1.09#3152
#51RodonLeedsDEF6.0%5.9%0.0%0.0%5.9%2.83#926
#52Igor JesusNott'm ForestFWD6.7%5.9%0.0%0.0%5.9%3.12#662
#53RiceArsenalMID5.7%5.7%0.0%0.0%5.8%4.65#73
#54SenesiSpursDEF6.2%5.6%0.0%0.0%5.6%3.30#563
#55BallardSunderlandDEF5.5%5.5%0.0%0.0%5.5%3.19#600
#56VuskovicBrightonDEF5.4%5.4%0.0%0.0%5.4%1.69#2206
#57KelleherBrentfordGK6.2%5.2%0.0%0.0%5.2%3.12#657
#58TraffordLeedsGK5.7%5.2%0.0%0.0%5.2%1.85#1969
#59SchadeBrentfordMID5.2%5.1%0.0%0.0%5.1%3.72#353
#60E.Le FéeSunderlandMID5.3%5.1%0.0%0.0%5.1%4.35#152
#61GroßBrightonMID5.1%5.0%0.0%0.0%5.0%3.85#322
#62DonnarummaMan CityGK6.0%4.9%0.0%0.0%5.0%2.88#883
#63BarryEvertonFWD4.6%4.5%0.2%0.0%4.7%2.16#1598
#64CunhaMan UtdMID4.5%4.4%0.0%0.0%4.4%4.28#162
#65AinaNott'm ForestDEF4.3%4.2%0.0%0.0%4.2%2.67#1075
#66Van HeckeSpursDEF5.0%4.1%0.0%0.0%4.1%3.30#541
#67O'SheaIpswich TownDEF4.1%4.0%0.0%0.0%4.0%0.72#3724
#68RobertsonSpursDEF4.4%4.0%0.0%0.0%4.0%1.66#2263
#69XhakaSunderlandMID3.8%3.8%0.1%0.0%3.9%3.49#459
#70FodenMan CityMID3.8%3.6%0.1%0.0%3.7%3.35#521
#71StachLeedsMID3.8%3.5%0.0%0.0%3.5%2.71#10013
#72GomezBrightonMID3.5%3.4%0.0%0.0%3.4%3.99#256
#73MykolenkoEvertonDEF3.5%3.3%0.0%0.0%3.3%2.96#786
#74RoefsSunderlandGK3.5%3.1%0.0%0.0%3.1%2.95#801
#75PalestraChelseaDEF4.5%2.9%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.44#2570
#76JamesChelseaDEF3.0%2.8%0.0%0.0%2.8%2.53#1190
#77MuñozCrystal PalaceDEF3.3%2.8%0.0%0.0%2.8%2.88#870
#78WilsonLeedsMID2.8%2.6%0.0%0.0%2.6%2.95#793
#79AndersonMan CityMID2.6%2.6%0.0%0.0%2.6%4.05#232
#80JustinLeedsDEF2.4%2.3%0.0%0.0%2.3%1.68#22110
#81ScherpenIpswich TownGK2.4%2.2%0.0%0.0%2.2%0.64#3832
#82Pedro PorroSpursDEF7.6%1.8%0.0%0.0%1.8%3.36#510
#83SánchezChelseaGK2.0%1.7%0.0%0.0%1.7%2.63#1112
#84BranthwaiteEvertonDEF1.7%1.7%0.0%0.0%1.7%1.94#1816
#85HallNewcastleDEF2.1%1.7%0.0%0.0%1.7%2.52#1213
#86TonaliSpursMID1.9%1.7%0.0%0.0%1.7%2.60#1152
#87WatkinsAston VillaFWD7.3%1.6%1.0%0.3%1.6%4.90#60
#88MatetaCrystal PalaceFWD2.3%1.6%0.0%0.0%1.6%3.04#742
#89FrimpongLiverpoolDEF1.8%1.6%0.0%0.0%1.6%2.17#1580
#90JacquetLiverpoolDEF2.2%1.6%0.0%0.0%1.6%1.24#2921
#91TavernierBournemouthMID1.5%1.5%0.0%0.0%1.5%3.68#3610
#92CollinsBrentfordDEF1.5%1.5%0.0%0.0%1.5%3.24#586
#93DalotMan UtdDEF1.6%1.5%0.0%0.0%1.5%4.02#241
#94GonzaloFulhamFWD1.9%1.5%0.0%0.0%1.5%2.02#1706
#95PetrovićBournemouthGK2.8%1.4%0.0%0.0%1.4%2.71#992
#96van EwijkCoventry CityDEF2.0%1.4%0.0%0.0%1.4%0.61#3871
#97O.DangoBrentfordMID1.5%1.3%0.0%0.0%1.3%3.62#373
#98AjayiHull CityDEF1.3%1.3%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.37#43714
#99MendyHull CityDEF1.4%1.3%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.16#49415
#100GeorginioBrightonFWD1.5%1.2%0.0%0.0%1.2%2.73#985
#101RichardsCrystal PalaceDEF1.2%1.2%0.0%0.0%1.2%2.66#1083
#102McBurnieHull CityFWD1.4%1.2%0.0%0.0%1.2%2.21#1515
#103TielemansMan UtdMID1.2%1.1%0.0%0.0%1.1%2.49#1232
#104A.BeckerLiverpoolGK1.7%1.1%0.0%0.0%1.1%2.46#1262
#105TzolakisHull CityGK0.9%0.9%0.1%0.1%1.1%0.86#35110
#106GyökeresArsenalFWD3.4%1.0%0.6%0.2%1.0%4.39#140
#107EvanilsonBournemouthFWD1.5%1.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%3.08#694
#108ColwillChelseaDEF1.2%1.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%1.32#2740
#109EnzoChelseaMID1.1%1.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%3.82#331
#110TruffertBournemouthDEF1.2%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.9%2.42#1331
#111RayanBournemouthMID1.3%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.9%2.68#1022
#112MurilloNott'm ForestDEF1.3%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.9%2.24#1474
#113O'NienSunderlandDEF1.2%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.9%0.87#3491
#114CashAston VillaDEF1.6%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.8%2.57#117-1
#115BijolLeedsDEF0.8%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.8%1.67#22310
#116BogleLeedsDEF1.2%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.8%2.13#1666
#117KerkezLiverpoolDEF0.9%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.8%2.83#930
#118RúbenMan CityDEF0.8%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.8%2.62#1132
#119MilenkovićNott'm ForestDEF1.2%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.8%3.43#472
#120KluivertBournemouthMID0.8%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%2.15#1603
#121F.KadıoğluBrightonDEF1.5%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%3.16#620
#122WiefferBrightonDEF0.7%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%2.40#1377
#123ThomasCoventry CityDEF1.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.53#3973
#124MitchellCrystal PalaceDEF1.1%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%2.89#851
#125SarrCrystal PalaceMID1.4%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%3.01#750
#126SlaterHull CityMID1.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%1.31#2786
#127ThiawNewcastleDEF0.8%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%3.19#593
#128DubravkaSpursGK3.6%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%2.68#1040
#129MartinezAston VillaGK1.9%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.67#1050
#130KonsaArsenalDEF3.2%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.52#1200
#131CaicedoChelseaMID1.3%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%3.00#760
#132PalmerIpswich TownGK1.4%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.74#3670
#133GreavesIpswich TownDEF0.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.46#4132
#134EmersonnIpswich TownFWD0.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%1.98#1769
#135Walle EgeliIpswich TownFWD0.9%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%1.16#3091
#136KhusanovMan CityDEF0.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.62#1142
#137ElangaNewcastleMID0.7%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.18#1569
#138SelsNott'm ForestGK0.9%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.80#962
#139NdoyeNott'm ForestMID0.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.00#1733
#140I.SangaréNott'm ForestMID0.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.00#1742
#141WoodNott'm ForestFWD0.7%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.39#1391
#142FernandesSpursMID0.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%3.07#721
#143HincapieArsenalDEF0.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%3.89#291
#144EzeArsenalMID0.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%3.48#461
#145MaatsenAston VillaDEF0.7%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%1.73#2090
#146DunkBrightonDEF0.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%2.64#1096
#147EganHull CityDEF0.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.51#4038
#148GravenberchLiverpoolMID0.6%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%3.17#615
#149WissaNewcastleFWD1.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%2.00#1724
#150MukieleSunderlandDEF1.7%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%2.23#1500
#151AraujoLiverpoolDEF0.6%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%1.42#2621
#152RushworthCoventry CityGK0.7%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%1.00#3351
#153LenoFulhamGK1.2%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%3.06#732
#154AmpaduLeedsMID0.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%2.98#775
#155NgumohaLiverpoolMID0.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%1.82#2012
#156Matheus N.Man CityDEF0.6%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%2.94#821
#157OsulaNewcastleFWD0.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%2.30#1434
#158Van de VenSpursDEF1.2%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%2.36#1410
#159Lewis-SkellyArsenalMID0.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%1.02#3313
#160BuendíaAston VillaMID0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.63#1102
#161McGinnAston VillaMID0.6%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%3.53#411
#162Lewis-PotterBrentfordMID0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%1.79#20510
#163SteeleBrightonGK1.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.41#4210
#164AyariBrightonMID0.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.43#1322
#165WhartonCrystal PalaceMID0.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.50#1224
#166BetoEvertonFWD0.8%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.68#1031
#167CastagneFulhamDEF0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%1.58#2356
#168GilesHull CityDEF0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.3%0.36#4416
#169OkaforLeedsMID0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.15#1611
#170DorguMan UtdMID0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.49#1240
#171RashfordMan UtdMID0.4%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%1.81#2031
#172AmadMan UtdMID0.7%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%3.86#310
#173SchärNewcastleDEF0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.72#3731
#174BarnesNewcastleMID0.4%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.67#1062
#175TelSpursMID0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%1.98#1792
#176SolankeSpursFWD1.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%2.14#1631
#177ZubimendiArsenalMID0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%3.27#571
#178George HemmingsAston VillaMID0.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.48#4072
#179HillBournemouthDEF0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.47#2501
#180ScottBournemouthMID0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%3.13#632
#181BoscagliBrightonDEF0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.07#3176
#182GustoChelseaDEF0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%2.27#1451
#183RudoniCoventry CityMID0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.65#3821
#184HughesCrystal PalaceMID1.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.85#1930
#185IwobiFulhamMID0.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%3.31#532
#186MunizFulhamFWD0.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%2.04#1681
#187Kusi-AsareFulhamFWD1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.80#3580
#188ClarkeIpswich TownMID0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.75#2087
#189AaronsonLeedsMID0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%2.58#1163
#190Aït-NouriMan CityDEF0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%2.19#1540
#191HeavenMan UtdDEF0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.19#3061
#192MazraouiMan UtdDEF0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.81#2021
#193ŠeškoMan UtdFWD0.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.73#2101
#194ZirkzeeMan UtdFWD0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.48#2490
#195ObiMan UtdFWD0.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.29#4580
#196AwoniyiCoventry CityFWD0.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.46#2541
#197ReinildoSunderlandDEF0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.53#2421
#198IsidorSunderlandFWD0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%2.21#1521
#199MaedaIpswich TownMID0.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.93#1852
#200EncisoIpswich TownMID0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%5
#201MaduekeArsenalMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.05#1671
#202DiakitéBournemouthDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.07#3160
#203RodríguezBournemouthFWD0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.89#3450
#204PinnockBrentfordDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.68#3790
#205JensenBrentfordMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.20#1536
#206JaneltBrentfordMID0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.60#2299
#207OnyekaCoventry CityMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.25#2882
#208WilsonBrentfordFWD0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.86#1891
#209IgorBrightonDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.37#4340
#210CostinhaBrightonDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.35#4431
#211KostoulasBrightonFWD0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.38#2671
#212HatoChelseaDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.29#2801
#213NetoChelseaMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.81#941
#214EstêvãoChelseaMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.14#1621
#215GarnachoAston VillaMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.23#1481
#216Andrey SantosMan UtdMID0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.72#2132
#217Marc GuiuChelseaFWD0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.46#4120
#218WilsonCoventry CityGK0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.77#3630
#219HendersonCrystal PalaceGK0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.94#812
#220Chadi RiadCrystal PalaceDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.50#4051
#221NketiahCrystal PalaceFWD0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.25#2891
#222GrealishMan CityMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.29#2811
#223GeorgeEvertonMID0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.30#2793
#224LecomteFulhamGK0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.26#4660
#225BobbFulhamMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.23#1492
#226LukićIpswich TownMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.59#2335
#227CoyleHull CityDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.36#4406
#228NúñezIpswich TownMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.39#2664
#229PerriLeedsGK0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.21#3000
#230StruijkBrightonDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.80#2040
#231Mac AllisterLiverpoolMID0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%3.13#641
#232MunozLiverpoolMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.69#2184
#233MarmoushMan CityFWD0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.70#2170
#234MartinezMan UtdDEF0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.98#1770
#235MainooMan UtdMID0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.00#1711
#236PopeNewcastleGK0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.42#1350
#237BurnNewcastleDEF1.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%2.47#1250
#238Bruno G.ArsenalMID1.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%3.94#280
#239UdogieSpursDEF0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.88#3481
#240GraySpursMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.35#2722
#241MooreSpursMID0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.46#4142
#242ScarlettSpursFWD0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.32#4500
#243AldereteSunderlandDEF0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.43#2591
#244TargettHull CityDEF0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.05#3251
#245SchlagerNott'm ForestMID0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.96#3391
#246HorníčekNewcastleGK0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.03#3291
#247DiomandeNott'm ForestDEF0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1.36#2700
#248OuattaraIpswich TownDEF0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%1
#249SuzukiAston VillaGK0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0
#250ArrizabalagaArsenalGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.21#4770
#251A.GarcíaAston VillaDEF0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.52#3990
#252BurrowesAston VillaMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.50#4040
#253AbrahamAston VillaFWD0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.75#3660
#254ForsterBournemouthGK0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.34#4450
#255DennisBournemouthGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.03#5210
#256Kroupi.JrBournemouthMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.00#5330
#257HenryBrentfordDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.15#3100
#258SchusterBrentfordDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.71#3740
#259DamsgaardBrentfordMID0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.45#1291
#260FuroBrentfordFWD0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.36#4390
#261WelbeckChelseaFWD0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.41#1360
#262TosinChelseaDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.01#3320
#263D.EssugoChelseaMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.28#4590
#264N.JacksonChelseaFWD0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.96#3380
#265DovinCoventry CityGK0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.41#4220
#266KitchingCoventry CityDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.17#4880
#267DasilvaCoventry CityDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.28#4601
#268BrauCoventry CityDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.09#5120
#269Borges RodriguesCoventry CityMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.77#3640
#270AndrewsCoventry CityMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.04#3260
#271Thomas-AsanteCoventry CityFWD0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.31#2772
#272SimmsCoventry CityFWD0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.17#3072
#273BenitezCrystal PalaceGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.13#5010
#274CanvotCrystal PalaceDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.83#1981
#275MinguezaCrystal PalaceDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.40#4260
#276Strand LarsenCrystal PalaceFWD0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.18#1551
#277KeaneEvertonDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.60#390
#278ArmstrongEvertonMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.01#3338
#279BasseyFulhamDEF0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.93#1820
#280PhillipsHull CityGK0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.37#4360
#281ZambranoHull CityMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.00#5570
#282DestanHull CityFWD0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.29#2820
#283WaltonIpswich TownGK0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.10#3140
#284KipréIpswich TownDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.48#4080
#285FurlongIpswich TownDEF0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.40#4280
#286FatawuIpswich TownMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.86#1902
#287HirstIpswich TownFWD0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.52#2440
#288AkpomIpswich TownFWD0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.60#2301
#289NmechaLeedsFWD0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.89#1870
#290WoodmanLiverpoolGK0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.12#5020
#291BradleyLiverpoolDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.00#5690
#292EkitikéLiverpoolFWD0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.00#5710
#293DokuMan CityMID0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.08#700
#294SávioSpursMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.69#2190
#295MongaMan CityMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.36#4420
#296YoroMan UtdDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.36#1400
#297AmassMan UtdDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.17#4890
#298GillespieNewcastleGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.08#5140
#299LivramentoNewcastleDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.89#3460
#300J.RamseyNewcastleMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.98#1780
#301WoltemadeNewcastleFWD1.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.46#1270
#302JohnNott'm ForestGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.26#4670
#303Hudson-OdoiNott'm ForestMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.86#1910
#304YatesNott'm ForestMID0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.35#2710
#305VicarioSpursGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.93#1840
#306AustinSpursGK0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.04#5200
#307RomeroSpursDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.76#2070
#308DansoSpursDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.38#2680
#309SpenceSpursDEF0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.99#1750
#310DaviesSpursDEF0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.21#4780
#311MaddisonSpursMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.68#2221
#312GallagherSpursMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.23#2940
#313OlusesiSpursMID0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.34#4480
#314MeunierSunderlandDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.49#4061
#315SadikiSunderlandMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.18#1572
#316MatthewsCrystal PalaceGK0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.20#4830
#317TomiyasuCrystal PalaceDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.62#3861
#318ChavarriaChelseaDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.53#3981
#319HamerCoventry CityMID0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.06#3231
#320HerringtonHull CityDEF0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.17#4901
#321RulliMan CityGK0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.20#4840
#322DedićNewcastleDEF0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1

Top 100k

Top 10k only for this gameweek.

No managers ranked 10,001–100,000 were sampled for this gameweek: that band is captured from 2026-09-13 onward, so earlier gameweeks have the top 10k only.

Method

Effective ownership
Effective ownership (eo_pct in the JSON) as the game scores it: for each player, the weighted sum of multipliers across the tier's managers (0 on the bench, 1 in the starting XI, 2 as captain, 3 as triple captain) divided by the weighted number of managers, times 100. It can exceed 100. Own (own_pct) is the share holding the player anywhere in their 15, XI (xi_pct) the share fielding him, Captain (captain_pct) the share who gave him the armband, and Triple captain (tc_pct) the share of all managers who captained him AND played the chip — it sits inside the captain share. Captures are taken after the deadline (FPL publishes picks only then), so multipliers are the effective ones once auto-substitutions have applied. Each gameweek uses its latest capture.
Who was sampled, and how they're weighted
Managers are sampled from the live standings in rank bands: 1-1,000 (population 1,000), 1,001-10,000 (9,000) and 10,001-100,000 (90,000). Each sampled manager is weighted by band population divided by the number sampled in that band, so every share estimates the whole tier rather than the sample; the bands, sample sizes and weights are printed with each tier. The top 10k tier is ranks 1-10,000 at the capture; the top 100k tier adds the 10,001-100,000 band. A tier is reported only when its bands were sampled (sampling of the 10,001-100,000 band began 2026-09-13), and is otherwise marked unavailable rather than built from the bands that were.
The same-managers column
The same-managers change (d_own_pct, d_eo_pct, d_captain_pct in the JSON) is measured on a matched panel: the managers present in both this gameweek's capture and the previous gameweek's, in the tier at this capture, weighted by band population divided by the panel count in the band. A change is the level on that panel now minus the level on the same panel then, in percentage points. They are null when there is no previous capture to match against, and null for a tier whose panel does not cover every one of its rank bands — under page-cluster sampling of the 10,001-100,000 band that is the normal state of the top-100k panel, so its same-managers column is usually empty.
The model column
Model xP (model_xp) is Sideline Quant's expected points for the gameweek from the latest run before the deadline, summed across a double gameweek; model_rank is the player's place by expected points among every player in that run; model_p_ge_10 is the run's probability of a ten-point haul (null for a double gameweek and for the pre-season bundle, which did not record it); likely_starter means expected minutes over 60. A player the run did not cover has null model fields. GW1 predates run retention and uses the committed pre-season bundle, labelled seed.
What counts as a move
A move is shown two ways. The headline change (this week's level minus last week's: own_pct minus prev_own_pct, and likewise for EO and captain) compares this gameweek's tier level with the previous gameweek's: two independent samples of about 1,000 managers inside the band at each capture, so it carries sampling noise of roughly ±4 points at 95% on a share near 30% (about ±9 where a band holds only ~200 managers) and a change inside that is noise, not a move. The matched-panel delta (d_own_pct, d_eo_pct, d_captain_pct) is the same managers in both captures, so it is free of sample churn, but the sample is redrawn from the moving standings each capture and the panel is typically ~50 managers, roughly ±14 points. prev_* is 0.0 when the previous capture existed and nobody in the tier held the player; both readings are null when there is no previous capture.
The template-vs-model rule
Over-owned: of the twenty highest-EO players, the eight the model ranks lowest by expected points. Under-owned: of the model's twenty highest expected-points likely starters (expected minutes over 60), the eight with the lowest effective ownership in this tier.
How it's scored
Once a gameweek settles, every row carries the player's realised FPL points, summed across the gameweek's fixtures (null when the player has no record for the gameweek, which is absence, not zero), and each disagreement list carries the mean points of its scored rows. The lists are fixed at the deadline's ownership and prediction; the points are filled in afterwards and nothing is re-selected. Until the gameweek settles, points and the means are null and the previous gameweek's verdict is shown, if that gameweek has settled. A player held in the previous capture and by nobody now is listed at 0.0 with no EO rank, so a sale out of the tier is visible.

Top 10k — bands and weights

Rank bandSampledWeight per manager
1-10002005.00
1001-1000080011.25

Free to use, quote and redistribute, including commercially, with attribution to Sideline Quant and a link to https://sidelinequant.com. Produced by Sideline Quant.